2020 Ohio Democratic primary
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153 delegates (136 pledged, 17 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention | ||
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.svg/180px-Seal_of_Ohio_(Official).svg.png)
The 2020 Ohio Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, June 2, 2020 as part of the the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election.[1] The Ohio primary is a semi-open primary. The state awards 153 delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 136 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
The primary was originally scheduled for March 17, 2020. On March 16, Governor of Ohio Mike DeWine recommended moving the primary election to June amid concerns over the 2020 coronavirus pandemic in the United States. The governor does not have the power to unilaterally make this decision, and went to court to request the delay.[2] However, a judge rejected the lawsuit.[3] Later in the day, the Health Director ordered the polls closed as a health emergency; state officials will seek to extend voting through alternative means.[4] Early on March 17, the Ohio Supreme Court denied the challenge to the state and allowed the primary's delay to proceed.[5]
Procedure[edit]
The primary, originally scheduled for March 17, 2020, has been postponed until a future date.
Voting is expected to take place throughout the state from 6:30 a.m. until 7:30 p.m. In the semi-open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 136 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 136 pledged delegates, between three and nine are allocated to each of the state's 16 congressional districts and another 18 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 29 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Ohio shares a primary date with numerous other states holding contests the week after Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[6]
During the post-primary caucuses on Thursday, April 16, 2020, congressional district delegates will be elected; should candidates receive more delegates based on the results of the primary than delegate candidates presented at the time, then additional delegates will be nominated during the caucuses. The state executive committee will subsequently meet on Saturday, May 9, 2020, to vote on the 29 pledged at-large and 18 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 136 pledged delegates Ohio sends to the national convention will be joined by 17 unpledged PLEO delegates (11 members of the Democratic National Committee; five members of Congress, including one Senator and four U.S. Representatives, notably Tim Ryan; and former DNC chair David Wilhelm).[6]
Polling[edit]
| Polling Aggregation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[a] | |
| 270 to Win | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 1.5% | 6.0% | |
| RealClear Politics | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 1.5% | 6.0% | |
| FiveThirtyEight | Mar 16, 2020 | until Mar 13, 2020 [b] | 58.7% | 32.3% | 1.7% | 7.3% | |
| Average | 57.9% | 34.1% | 1.6% | 6.4% | |||
| Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Ohio Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
| Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 2,027 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 66% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 10%[d] | – | |||
| Marist/NBC News | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 58% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 4%[e] | 4% | |||
| 830 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 4%[f] | 4% | |||||
| Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 1%[g] | 7% | |||
| ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 61% | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | –[h] | –[h] | |||
| Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Bloomberg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
| Klobuchar withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
| Buttigieg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
| South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
| New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
| Iowa Caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
| Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University |
Jan 8–20, 2020 | 428 (RV) | – | 32.1% | 10.1% | – | 6.1% | – | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 5.7%[i] | 9.8% | |||
| Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Williamson withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Castro withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Ryan withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Climate Nexus | Oct 1–7, 2019 | 443 (LV) | – | 32% | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 17%[j] | –[note 1] | |||
| Emerson | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 353 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 29% | – | 0% | 5% | 7% | 27% | 21% | 3% | 5%[k] | 2% | |||
| Quinnipiac | Jul 17–22, 2019 | 556 | ± 5.1% | 31% | – | 1% | 6% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 6%[l] | 11% | |||
| Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 29% | – | 3% | 6% | 5% | 19% | 12% | 3% | 6%[m] | – | |||
Results[edit]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | |||
| Tulsi Gabbard | |||
| Bernie Sanders | |||
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | |||
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | |||
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | |||
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | |||
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | |||
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | |||
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | |||
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | |||
| Andrew Yang (write-in; withdrawn) | |||
| Total |
See also[edit]
Notes[edit]
- Additional candidates
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Gabbard with 6%; "Other" with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ a b Not yet released
- ^ Steyer with 2.2%; Klobuchar with 1.5%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.5%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ^ Ryan with 2%; Castro, Delaney, O'Rourke, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Messam and Sestak with 0%; Other/Unsure with 10%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Bullock with 1%; Ryan, Bennett, Klobuchar, Sestak, Steyer, Castro, and Messam with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ^ The poll did not provide separate information for this entry, so it is grouped under 'other'.
References[edit]
- ^ McKenzie Caldwell (March 17, 2020). "Ohio primary election will now be held June 2". The Times-Gazette. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
- ^ Merica, Dan (March 16, 2020). "Ohio governor recommends delaying Tuesday's primary until June amid coronavirus pandemic". CNN. Retrieved March 16, 2020.
- ^ "Judge rejects lawsuit to delay Ohio's primary election". WBNS-TV. March 16, 2020. Retrieved March 16, 2020.
- ^ "Ohio health chief to order polls closed ahead of primary amid coronavirus". fox8.com. 2020-03-16. Retrieved 2020-03-17.
- ^ Rouan, Rick; Futty, John (March 17, 2020). "Coronavirus: Ohio Supreme Court allows delay to primary election". The Columbus Dispatch. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
- ^ a b "Ohio Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
